February 25, 2024
Potential Hail Forecasted

In the wake of a week characterized by pleasant weather, featuring overcast skies and a refreshing chill in the air, residents of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are bracing for a notable shift in weather conditions. The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) has issued a forecast that predicts heavy rain and lightning in the upcoming week, marking a significant departure from the recent weather patterns.

Weather Forecast: An In-Depth Analysis from Sunday to Tuesday

During the forecasted period from Sunday to Tuesday, meteorological experts anticipate the gradual deepening of an upper air depression. This phenomenon is expected to result in heightened cloudiness in scattered areas across the UAE. The Meteorological Department has issued a cautionary statement, indicating that these clouds may incite convective activity, leading to the occurrence of rainfall with varying intensity, lightning, thunder, and the potential for hail in specific regions.

Temperature Fluctuations and Wind Pattern Adjustments

Simultaneously, a noticeable decline in temperatures is on the horizon. Alongside this temperature drop, there is a projected shift in wind patterns from southeasterly to northeasterly. Wind speeds are anticipated to fluctuate from fresh to strong, particularly during periods of cloudiness. These changing wind patterns may instigate blowing dust and sand, with speeds reaching a range of 15 – 25 km/hr, and gusts potentially escalating up to 45 km/hr.

Sea Conditions and Atmospheric Disturbances: Insights into the Forecast

Mariners and coastal communities are advised to take note of the expected sea conditions. The forecast indicates that the Arabian Gulf will experience rough to very rough conditions, while the Oman Sea is expected to be rough, particularly during intervals of cloudiness. These anticipated weather disturbances trace their origins to a surface low-pressure system in the Southwest, coupled with the influence of humid southeasterly winds. Additionally, an upper air depression, characterized by a cold air mass and a westerly trough, is poised to contribute to varying cloud cover originating from the western direction.

Recorded Temperatures and Noteworthy Chilly Snap

The recent weather conditions have already seen a notable dip in temperatures. On February 4, the UAE recorded its lowest temperature, plummeting to near-freezing at 3.4°C in the Jebel Jais Mountains. A chilling temperature of 4.2ºC was recorded at 5 am on February 3 at Jebel Jais in Ras Al Khaimah, surpassing the previous record of 5.3ºC in Raknah on January 10, highlighting the intensity of the cold spell.

Scorpion Season and Astronomical Predictions: A Glimpse into February’s Atmospheric Phenomena

Renowned astronomer Ibrahim Al-Jarwan, an esteemed member of the Arab Federation for Space and Astronomy, has offered insights into the upcoming atmospheric phenomena associated with the ‘Scorpion Season.’ This distinctive weather pattern, spanning a duration of 40 days from February 6 to March 17, is known for its characteristic precipitation over extensive regions.

As Al-Jarwan predicts an increase in rainfall throughout February, the onset of the ‘Scorpion Season’ is closely tied to significant weather changes. The season is characterized by winds fluctuating between Northwest and Northeast, creating an atmospheric dance that contributes to the widespread rain.

February Frost and its Implications for Northern Regions

Intriguingly, the commencement of the ‘Scorpion Season’ marks a period of potential winter freeze, particularly in the northern regions of the Arabian Island. Residents in the Al Jouf region and the broader northern area are anticipated to face what is colloquially known as the ‘February frost.’ Ibrahim Al-Jarwan highlights that this climatic occurrence is particularly notable during the first and second weeks of February, underscoring the unique atmospheric conditions associated with this phase.

Conclusion: A Comprehensive Look at the Anticipated Weather Patterns

In conclusion, the upcoming week in the UAE promises to be a time of notable meteorological shifts. From the gradual deepening of an upper air depression to the subsequent convective activity leading to heavy rainfall, lightning, and the potential for hail, residents are advised to stay informed and take necessary precautions. The fluctuations in temperatures, wind patterns, and sea conditions underscore the dynamic nature of the anticipated weather disturbances. As the ‘Scorpion Season’ unfolds, bringing with it increased rainfall and atmospheric changes, meteorological enthusiasts and residents alike are poised to witness the intriguing interplay of nature’s elements throughout the month of February.

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